Pretty much everyday someone asks me when prices in the Vancouver real estate market will hit bottom and everyday I say I don’t know.
I say I don’t know, because I don’t have a crystal ball and can’t see the future and as I licensed Realtor I can be liable if people take a hit relying on my predictions.
There are people out there who are saying they KNOW when the prices will hit bottom and they can tell when prices are bottoming as they are hitting bottom. Don’t trust these people!
What happens if prices stabilise and a bottom is called and then prices fall again? Nobody can accurately predict a market bottom and don’t trust those who say they can.
The market bottom can only accurately ascertained with 100% certainty AFTER it has been hit.
In making your decisions about buying or selling real estate and timing your transactions, do your own research. Read widely and speak to a variety of people with different viewpoints. Don’t rely on those who have simple answers that are too easy.
If something is too good to be true, more than likely it isn’t true.
Please leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
American buyers are back in the Vancouver Condo Market! A good exchange rate for US buyers and the fact that some individuals and companies Stateside are weather the storm well means our American freinds and neighbours are back.
Is this a sign that Stimulus is bringing confidence back?
On another note this Video is the first I have shot with my new Flip Mino HD Camera. I’d love to hear your thoughts and feedback on the camera and this video from a technical perspective.
I’d love to hear your thoughts! Please leave a comment below!
Stimulus packages coupled with ultra low interest rates are attempts by national governments and central banks to reflate economies around the world. If these efforts are successful (I think they will) I think inflation will be an issue in 2-3 years in Canada. I think elected politicians and to a lesser extent central bankers will find it very difficult to stop priming the pump once things improve.
Inflation will cause prices and rents in Vancouver to increase while fixed rate mortgages locked in before inflation hits will decline in real and nominal value at an accelerated rate. Equity will increase at an accelerated rate for those with fixed rate mortgages.
Variable rate mortgage holders would see their rates and possibly payments rise in line with Bank of Canada rate increases to combat inflation.
If inflation does re-appear it will be very interesting time in the Vancouver Real Estate Market.
I recently posted on the stimulus pacakges being enacted around the world and it generated alot of conversation, which is great and I thank all those who participated.
I shot a video justifying my position and I’d like to share with you. I’d also like to hear what people who oppose the stimulus packages think should be done to deal with the financial cirsis we find out ourselves in.
The global recession has caused national governments around the world to enact huge stimulus packages to get their economies going. I think with the global nature of stimulus efforts we should pull out of this recession in line with the Bank of Canada and other commentators predictions by 2010.
What are your thoughts? Is it the end of the world? Are we going into another Great Depression?
I’d love to see your comments below.
I found this great interactive map on the Economist site and I wanted to share it. If you click on the countries you can see the details of each countries stimulus package.
The Ascent of Money. Wow! What a book! I read this book when I was away in Mexico growing this crazy red beard you see me with in all my recent videos.
Niall Ferguson is an Economic Historian at Oxford and Harvard Universities and the authour of several books. In The Ascent of Money, he accurately predicted the Credit Crisis of September 2008 in early 2008. Very impressive!
In Chapter 4 of his book he discusses Real Estate. If you are interested in why property prices go up and down, this should be required reading…
It’s a buyer’s market for Vancouver real estate these days and Lowballing is a great way for buyers to get the best deal possible. For sellers a Lowball is an opportunity to get an accepted offer in a time when these are scarce.
Many buyers are afraid to Lowball for fear of insulting the sellers. With a Lowball offer it’s like anything else in life, if you don’t try, you’ll never know!
