March 2012 Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver Statistics Package

March 2012 REBGV Stats Package Mike Stewart

Increased selection helps maintain balance in Greater Vancouver housing market

Home sales in March trended below the 10-year average in Greater Vancouver while home listing activity outpaced what’s typical for the month.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential property sales in Greater Vancouver reached 2,874 on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in March 2012. This represents a 12.9 per cent increase compared to the 2,545 sales recorded in February 2012, a decline of 29.6 per cent compared to the 4,080 sales in March 2011 and an 8.4 per cent decline compared to the 3,137 home sales in March 2010.

March sales in Greater Vancouver were the second lowest total for the month in the region since 2002 and were 16.8 per cent below the 10-year sales average for the month.

“Home sellers have been more active than buyers the first few months of the year, but we continue to see a relative balance in the total supply of homes for sale and current demand in the marketplace,” Eugen Klein, REBGV president said.
New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties in Greater Vancouver totalled 5,843 in March 2012. This represents a 5.2 per cent increase compared to February when 5,552 homes were listed and a 14 per cent decline compared to March 2011 when 6,797 homes were listed for sale on the region’s MLS®.

Last month’s new listing total was 4.5 per cent above the 10-year average for listings in Greater Vancouver for March.

At 15,236, the total number of residential property listings on the MLS® increased 8.4 per cent in March compared to last month and increased 16 per cent from this time last year.
“The total number of properties for sale in Greater Vancouver has increased each month since December, which means there’s more selection to choose from as we enter what’s traditionally the busiest season of the year in our market,” Klein said.

The MLS® HPI benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver currently sits at $679,000, up 5.3 per cent compared to March 2011 and an increase of 1.1 per cent compared to February 2012. The benchmark price for all residential properties in the Lower Mainland is $607,700, an increase of 4.8 per cent compared to March 2011.

Sales of detached properties on the MLS® in March 2012 reached 1,183, a decline of 34.1 per cent from the 1,795 detached sales recorded in March 2011, and an 11.5 per cent decrease from the 1,336 units sold in March 2010. The benchmark price for detached properties increased 9.2 per cent from March 2011 to $1,056,400.

Sales of apartment properties reached 1,191 in March 2012, a decline of 26.6 per cent compared to the 1,622 sales in March 2011, and a decrease of 4.9 per cent compared to the 1,252 sales in March 2010.The benchmark price of an apartment property increased 2.2 per cent from March 2011 to $375,100.

Townhome property sales in March 2012 totalled 500, a decline of 24.6 per cent compared to the 663 sales in March 2011, and an 8.9 per cent decrease from the 549 townhome properties sold in March 2010. The benchmark price of a townhome unit increased 0.9 per cent between March 2011 and 2012 to $480,900.

Looking for More Vancouver Real Estate Statistics?! Check out all the REBGV Monthly Stats from May 2010!

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5 Responses to March 2012 Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver Statistics Package

  1. John Freemantle says:

    It looks as though the bubble is just about to burst!

  2. mike says:

    Hi John,

    Good to hear from you and thank you for taking the time to leave a comment!

    What makes you say that we are in a bubble?

    I would love love to see data to support your assertion.

    Looking forward to hearing from you!

  3. John Freemantle says:

    >>What makes you say that we are in a bubble?
    We are at the end of a period of world-wide asset inflation which has resulted in inflated real estate prices in most countries of the world. In some cases, such as the US and Ireland, that bubble has already burst. In Australia, Canada and Brazil the bubble has been kept inflated a little longer because of high commodity prices (because all these countries are primary producers). The commodity bubble was caused, first, by central banks’ QE and second, by the continuing boom in China. QE is coming to an end as is the boom in China. Growth in China is dropping fast for a number of reasons, not least of which is the collapse of the real estate bubble there. This will hit the economies of Canada, Australia and Brazil very hard. Indeed, it already has – prices in Australia have already dropped by up to 20%. There is no rational reason why real estate in Canada should cost twice what it costs in the US when salaries are lower. Nor is there any reason why real estate prices of >7x incomes are sustainable.

    Finally, BC has, throughout the past 150 years, been through cycles of boom and bust driven largely by commodity prices. The BC economy is based on the price of cannabis and wood. The price of both of these is low and dropping fast (for different reasons).

    To conclude: the world economy is heading for a major recession. The recession in Canada will be worse than that in many other countries because of its dependence on commodities. The recession in BC will be worse than that in the rest of Canada because the commodities it produces are declining in price particularly fast. And the prices in Vancouver will drop faster, even, than prices in the rest of BC. Already prices in much of BC have dropped by up to 35%.

    • mike says:

      Hi John,

      Good to hear from you and thanks again for commenting!

      You sound very certain about what is going to happen in the future.

      I’m not an economist nor am I am clairvoyant, so I can’t tell accurately predict what is going to happen in the future nor can I say if we are in a bubble.

      Needless to say, I respectfully disagree with your perception that we are experiencing a real estate bubble in Vancouver.

      I read this great book on the history of financial bubbles (http://www.amazon.com/Devil-Take-Hindmost-Financial-Speculation/dp/0452281806) a few years ago and I recommend it.

      According to this book, we are not in a bubble.

      What are your thoughts?

  4. mike says:

    PS The book also covers real estate bubbles.

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